THEY say Australians would bet on two flies climbing a wall.
And if there weren’t enough sporting events to throw your hard-earned away on, you can place bets on all sorts of outcomes in the upcoming Victorian state election.
You can place a bet on the outcome of all three of the seats on the peninsula with some interesting odds available.
In the seat of Mornington, incumbent Liberal Chris Crewther, won’t be delivering you much of a windfall, sitting at $1.04, followed by One Nation’s Ashli Beards at $7 and Labor’s Kerry Macdonald at $34 for the win.
The betting company is also offering $34 for “any other” winning, which would take in independents contesting the poll.
Another betting company has the Liberals at $1.05, One Nation at $8 and Labor well out at $67 for the win. That company rates independents much higher, offering $11 for “any other”.
In Nepean, Liberal incumbent Anthony Marsh is offering an equally poor return for the fruits of your labour, at $1.04.
One Nation’s Darren Hercus is at $8 for the win, and Labor’s Surbhi Snowball is sitting at $34.
“Any other” is sitting at $26 down in Nepean.
Our other betting company is offering even tighter odds for Marsh at $1.03, with “any other” blowing out to $41.
Over in Hastings, things are much spicier.
Liberal Frank Schiefler is still the favourite, at $1.57 on one betting platform, and $1.30 on the other. But One Nation’s Peter Angelico isn’t too far behind on $2.63 and $3.25 on each platform.
Incumbent Paul Mercurio is next at $7.50 on one platform and $9 on the other.
In terms of the leaders of each party, Ben Carroll is behind the Liberal in the betting in his seat of Niddrie.
While Carroll is at $2.10 for the win, the Liberal candidate Samantha Byrne is sitting at $1.75.
Liberal leader Jess Wilson looks safe in her seat of Kew, sitting at $1.04, with the nearest contender, independent Sophie Torney sitting at $8.50.
Another leader looking safe is One Nation’s Warren Pickering who is sitting at $1.40 in his contest in Pakenham.
Next there is the Liberals at $3, and Labor at $10.
As for the overall winner of the 2026 Victorian state election, the Liberals are at $1.08 to form the next government, while Labor are at $11, and “any other” are at $13.
But you can also place a bet on whether there will be a hung parliament, with $3 paying for a hung parliament, and $1.33 on offer for no hung parliament.
For those that think betting on the Victorian state election is just too pedestrian, you can also place bets on the winner of the US Presidential race.
Offering the best value return for the brave at heart include Leonardo DiCaprio, Oprah Winfrey, Kanye West and Taylor Swift all sitting at 101-to-one odds.
First published in the Mornington News – 10 November 2026



